TY  - EJOUR
A1  - Le Heron, Edwin
A1  - Marouane, Amine
TI  - Political shocks and economic growth - The case of Tunisia
T2  - Économie appliquée 2021 – 1. varia
JO  - Économie appliquée (ISSN 2801-0620), 1, 2021 – 1
DO  - 10.48611/isbn.978-2-406-11904-3.p.0159
SN  - 2801-0620
SP  - 159
EP  - 187
AB  - Such extreme events as a revolution, a global pandemic, or terrorist attacks are political shocks that can significantly impact confidence and economic growth. Tunisia, for which tourism is crucial, has recently undergone a revolution in 2011, two terrorist attacks in 2015, and now the COVID-19 pandemic. The economic impact of these political events is much greater than that of the economic crisis of 2008. Using a post-Keynesian stock-flow consistent model, the aim of this paper is to reproduce the stylized facts since 2008. We first build a confidence index, then we try to provide forecasts of the economic impact of exogenous shocks.
PY  - 2021
DA  - 2021/07/28
DP  - Classiques Garnier
PB  - Classiques Garnier
CY  - Paris
KW  - SFC modeling, experiments, confidence, exogenous shock, economic crisis, COVID-19, Tunisia
LA  - fre
UR  - https://classiques-garnier.com/economie-appliquee-2021-1-varia-political-shocks-and-economic-growth.html
Y2  - 2024/07/17
ER  -