Abstract: This article discusses three interpretations of moral certainty in David Hume’s writings, offered respectively by Jamie Ferreira, Barbara Shapiro and Robert Pasnau. It then suggests a fourth interpretation: Hume substitutes his own conception of probability for the old notion of moral certainty, but in its light, as it were. Although Hume sometimes speaks the language of scholastic and classical thinkers on moral certainty, he frames afresh the concept of moral evidence.